Another part of the newly created currency was used to fight deflation that already started in 2008. For example, people 55-65 years old start to save a lot because they understand that they will have to retire soon. Money created by the central bank in the US is shown with a blue line in the graph below. ... That makes debt deflation likely, increasing the risk of insolvency. He called these cycles with season names: spring, summer, autumn and winter. A huge number of positive customer, GoldBroker is a gold and silver dealer and stores all your gold or silver solely under your name. Disclosure: We believe in transparency on the internet. By Rick Ackerman Posted on April 5, 2020, 5:10 pm EDT Last Updated April 6, ... as my commentary tried to make clear, deflation â the opposite of a debt jubilee â will come before hyperinflation could effectively let borrowers off the hook. Deflation is basically good in the long-term. In options markets, the "Greeks" refer to various measurements of how valuations move. By the way, the middle class is doing very poorly these times. He found out, that capitalism will always have cycles and it is impossible to avoid them. Beans in the teens? Of course, they all will not turn downwards in a single day, but you see the general trend. All assets lose value. A Chesapeake Energy Corp. bond maturing in 2025 with an 11.5% coupon came into 2020 at a price just below 100 cents on the dollar. From the picture, it is clear that all cycles almost head down. Please seek professional assistance before engaging in any financial transaction. The debt-to-GDP ratio is down from its peak in 2009, much as it receded slightly in the late 1920s when a financial boom temporarily juiced the economy. Maybe that will be enough to keep inflation-expectations well anchored and to spare us from a 1930s style debt-deflation experience. Cross-posted from Steve Keenâs Website Rebuilding Macroeconomics. This fast reduction in consumption is the main reason for short but extreme deflation in 2020. That shift alone will add to the pressure on house prices. Posted on October 5 2020. A past performance of various assets does not necessarily predict future results. With deflation, debt gets more expensive over time, taking a bigger and bigger bite out of your real income. Debt deflation is a theory that recessions and depressions are due to the overall level of debt rising in real value because of deflation, causing people to default on their consumer loans and mortgages. For example a mobile phone, TV or car. That is why it is trying to artificially suppress short-term interest rates through its money market operations. Debt deflation. Investment value is always fluctuating over time and it can produce huge gains or loses. Published on: May 13th, 2020 ⢠Duration: 53 minutes Real Vision Managing Editor Ed Harrison talks to Richard Koo, Chief Economist at Nomura Research Institute. Currently, we have extremely reduced consumption around the world and central banks try to pump trillions into the system to prevent the economy from falling into deep deflation and at the same time into the recession. Around every 30-40 years, the monetary system is slightly adjusted or changed in the world. Deflation.com is an affiliate of Elliott Wave International. Entire industries, such as traveling or car rental, do not function anymore. Because interest rates were low, central banks were able to create currency cheap. It should be obvious to anyone with a brain (and just a modicum of math skill) that there is a terrifying risk here. During deflation, the turnover of companies and salaries of the employers decrease but the credit payments stay the same. In short, 1st is East/West cycle which is the longest cycle that takes around 500 years to swing. Eurozone slides further into a debt-deflation trap, risking a protracted economic depression in the south and slow-motion insolvency crisis Ambrose Evans-Pritchard 2 October 2020 ⦠I confirm that I have read Should interest rates start to rise now, debt service costs will explode higher. This is what caused the debt deflation of the Great Depression, which Japan has been fighting since 1991. The 2020s Will Be the Decade of Deficit Doomsday America will have to pay for its spending spree and its wars. Investing comes always with risks and it must be properly understood. As more and more debt is piled on, the sensitivity to rising interest rates increases. British Supermarket Chain Cuts Prices âAcross 400 Staple Productsâ, A View on How the U.S. Can Prevent a âJapanese-Style Deflation". Recession is the worst economic period because people must produce more than they consume and it is painful. U.S. consumer debt hits an all-time high as it costs even less to service it. While you might think that deflation is good because cash increase in value and you can get more, in reality, it is very bad. In fact, that blue line which represents money supply shows that the US, in about 7-8 years, multiplied their currency supply by 5 times. Look at the title below. Moreover, central banks continued to create huge amounts of money even after the crisis. Learn how to profit from current deflation in western economies in this post: The economy in 2020. They will lose their homes, then rent the homes back from the original lenders. The classical gold standard, the gold exchange standard, the Bretton-Woods-system and finally purely fiat – the US dollar standard. The downward trend of all these cycles is always deflationary for the economy. The deflation debate is crucial for investors. Furthermore, at the same time, they reduced interest rates (red line) to almost 0% and kept them low for more than 5 years. Basically, central banks created wealth by creating more and more money instead of producing real goods and services. Copy Japan. Date: April 10, 2020 Time (UTC): 5:22 pm As lower prices make it harder for businesses to pay back a record corporate debt bubble, deflation will trap the economy in a vicious cycle. One key impact is that deflation means prices will be cheaper tomorrow, and so it pays to wait before buying if one can. Usually, deflation starts because of reduced consumption or contraction in the money supply. Countries lose confidence in the US and the US dollar itself. Should the European Central Bank Aim to Overshoot Its Inflation Target? Featuring Richard Koo & Ed Harrison . I will not go into detail about all of these cycles. Because of their selling, various assets slowly drop in price. The first one peaked in two stages in the 1930âs and 1940âs, and the second one peaked in two stages (so far) in the late 2000âs during the 2008-2014 period and again into the 2020âs. The experience of Japan shows policy makers may struggle to reverse the phenomenon of dropping prices should it occur in the U.S. Deflation, Hyperinflation and How To Profit from the Current Economic Situation, Why and how to invest in the agriculture sector worldwide? P.S. Each month it requires higher and higher percent from your salary to pay the credit. Read full disclaimer by clicking below. Wealth disappears extremely fast. How can you achieve Japanification? But as Steve Keen writes, it is all about debt deflation. Countries around the world had to print money because the economy was already going to deflation after the 2008 financial crisis. Cue Monetary Deflation. Usually, each system lasted for around 30-40 years, but we are already 50 years with our current fiat currencies system. While spring, summer and autumn provide economic growth, winter is an economic slowdown and is always deflationary. ING warns that deflation is going to strike the U.S. economy. No. By the way, Switzerland multiplied it by 12 times in the same period of time. Deflation in our economy is unavoidable. While rich getting richer, middle and poor classes are getting poorer. Bank assets fall because of the defaults and because the value of their collateral falls, leading to a surge in bank insolvencies, a reduction in lending and by extension, a reduction in spending. There's no doubt that many people think, "Well, why wouldn't you?!" Such a situation makes the population angry, socialism and populist ideas come to society. In options markets, the "Greeks" refer to various measurements of how valuations move. 7 cycles presented below prove, that we go into deflation. Please never invest any money if you cannot afford to lose it. It is extremely problematic for individuals or companies who have debt. It means that the P/E Ratio drops significantly to extreme lows. Nowadays, in most western countries exists a huge number of old people compared with young people that create products, services and pay taxes. Price / Earning is the measure of the share price relative to the annual net income earned by the firm per share. As an example of the following statements, I will take the US ⦠As an example of the following statements, I will take the US economy. It indicates, that the last 2008 financial crisis was not deep enough. Learn in this post and find possible stocks and ETFs, Trade Ideas stock scanner filters the stock market for you and offers automatic trading with Artificial Intelligence. Infrastructural investment is a smart option in the US, because there has been decades of severe underinvestment, so if done correctly, it should raise productivity within the economy. We still require extreme recession or depression in order to restart our economy for the next healthy economic boom. Debt deflation is a problem that can have lasting negative effects on a countryâs economy. 2. In normal times, this ⦠The Massive Debt Deflation Risk Murray Gunn ⢠February 18, 2020. The demographic cycle shows that society in western economies is getting older. Demographics is a science about population, based on various factors, like age. Highly recommended podcast â especially liked the comments on property and debt. It means that we get small commissions if you end up buying products through our links. That should terrify us. Thousands of businesses will go bankrupt and people will lose their jobs soon. History shows, that this won’t last long. – 7 Reasons, 12 Tips and Tricks for Investing in Gold and Silver, GoldSilberShop Review 2020 – Buy Gold and Silver in Germany, Bullionstar Review – Buying Gold and Silver in Singapore 2020, Regal Assets Review 2020 – Gold IRA Rollover and Investing in Gold and Silver, GoldBroker Review 2020 – Invest in Gold and Silver Offshore, Capitalist Exploits Review – Best Investment Newsletter. A similar situation could be developing now in the U.S. Debt has inflated over the past few decades. With deflation usually comes recession in the economy. Do you know that deflation creates the best investment opportunities? The Fed knows that rising interest rates will reap a storm of biblical proportions. RA . The world map below shows the average age of each countries population. Pay off debt. Many countries around the world abandon the current dollar standard and try to trade bypassing dollars. Moreover, 4 reasons are given that prove that we are already in deflation for more than 10 years in western economies. Deflation remains the bigger danger from the collapse in global demand, rather than a surge in inflation. When individuals reach around 65 years old, they start to consume less and must be taken care of by social securities. Debt Deflation: A situation in which the collateral used to secure a loan (or another form of debt) decreases in value. All rights reserved. For instance, the Delta of an option is the sensitivity of how the option price moves in relation to a change in the underlying instrument, and Theta is the relationship between the option's price and the passage of time. As it was explained before, currency creation is the only method to avoid deflation when consumption decreases. From money printing, which started after the 2008 financial crisis, it is quite clear, that we already live in mild deflation. They do not consume many things they normally would. Made me think â if we had moderate controlled rents, security of tenancy, and little house price inflation, why would anyone taken on the burden of a house purchase? Debt deflation is a theory that recessions and depressions are due to the overall level of debt rising in real value because of deflation, causing people to default on their consumer loans and mortgages. The same ⦠Japan has been fighting debt deflation since 1991. Mortgage debt rose the most but people are still bingeing on credit card, student and auto-loans. Everything points to it. Over-time, because of the decreased turnover of businesses, companies must decrease salaries and then employers earn less. The content on this website, including any positive reviews of those companies and other reviews, may bot be neutral or independent. A reader writes to observe that the concept of debt deflation is gradually leaking out into the mainstream discourse: ... Azure Amaranthine May 15, 2020 7:24 PM "Debt exists first, then money which is why printing money is deflationary." Regardless of anything, cycles repeat and repeat and are driven by human nature, fear, greed, and human psychology. Interest rates will rise again and, when they do, be prepared for a debt crisis the likes of which has never been seen before. Nikolai Kondratiev – Russian economist who was supposed to prove that capitalism does not work. Total U.S. household debt now exceeds $14,000,000,000,000 (14 trillion dollars). One of the lesser-known Greeks is Rho, which measures the change in an option's price in relation to changes in the interest rate. U.S. consumer debt hits an all-time high as it costs even less to service it. It shows how the prosperity swings throughout the world, from Asia, through Europe to North America and back, over time. This is basically exactly what helped the 2008 financial crisis in the US to happen. You might think that demographics have no connection here, but believe me, it has a huge influence. Published: April 28, 2020 at 9:45 a.m. They require most of the care and do not help the economy. I thought of interest rate sensitivity when reading the latest report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which shows that household debt in the U.S. surged last year at the fastest pace since just before the financial crisis of 2008-2009. The first reason is reduced consumption because of quarantine. This is totally crazy! This reduction in consumption will change the way how many businesses work around the world. While demographics put strong deflationary pressure on the economy, this deflation caused by demographics happens quite slow compared with the deflation caused by the current reduction in consumption around the globe because of coronavirus. This is also deflationary for the west because some investors will invest in eastern countries instead of western countries. Sound of the Suburbs October 5, 2020 at 10:40 am. Following the stock market crash of 1929, American economist Irving Fisher published his book The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions, in which he devised a theory on why economic recessions occur and how a countryâs debt burden can affect price levels. 4 Reasons That Prove Western Economies Are Already In Deflation, The economy in 2020. For a technical recession, GDP in two consecutive quarters must be negative. In some cases, households take credit with great credit conditions (at that time) to buy a house or a flat that is extremely expensive (overpriced). A Vaccine! Yup, by 12 times. It is opposite to inflation where the prices of everything constantly increase. Most of the world is quarantined at the moment. That would result in debt deflation on a massive scale as people default and/or repay the debt if they can. Moreover, money printing always pushes asset prices higher, and most individuals from the middle class have no assets or investments at all. With deflation, debt gets more expensive over time, taking a bigger and bigger bite out of your real income. Over time, families take to much credit and later it becomes hard to sustain it. When they earn less, they spend less, thus the prices of goods and services decrease even further. In other words, as Robert Prechterâs 2020 edition of Conquer the Crash, notes: When the volume of money and credit falls relative to the volume of goods available, the relative value of each unit of money rises, making prices of goods generally fall. Check the western world. Look at the picture below. To save the economy from the collapse during the financial crisis of 2008, central banks around the world made billions of dollars (or euros, or yen) out of thin air and bailed out many investment-banks. The main reason is, that nobody likes the country which can simply create money in order to buy something (just as the US does). Deflation also can make it harder to repay mortgages and other debt, which become costlier in inflation-adjusted terms. Bank assets fall because of the defaults and because the value of their collateral falls, leading to a surge in bank insolvencies, a reduction in lending and by extension, a reduction in spending. FED will pump $4 trillion into the system. Learn what is deflation, how bad is it and how to get rid of it. Stagflation versus Deflation. Hurrah!! So, it wouldn't be surprising if a similar development unfolded in the U.S. Also, keep in mind what the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash noted: and agree to Investing-ABC.com, Debt Cycles – How They Work and How To Use Them, What is Recession? ET By. However, with the 2000 dot.com bubble, the P/E ratio didn’t drop to the lowest levels as it always did. Bull Market In Deflation Makes 2020 A Dangerous Year. I guess that most people already noticed that eastern countries started to grow and the East/West cycle turns already to east. Basically, every individual and company has more or less debt. ... April 14, 2020 at 7:39 pm National Debt. All investment and financial opinions and suggestions expressed on the website are from personal research and experience of the authors. As the chart below shows, even though household debt is at a record high, incredibly, debt service payments as a percentage of disposable income are at a 40-year record low! Copyrights held by individual contributors; other site material Copyright © 2020. In fact, all 7 show coming deflation in the economy. Japan led the way and everyone followed. The outbreak of COVID-19 pushes the whole globe deeper into deflation and trillions will be printed to fight it. The owners of this website may be paid to recommend some companies. An increase in the debt of households is extremely deflationary because families spend to less to serve credit payments. Older society is always deflationary as was explained earlier in the post. Check the world map below. Some of the newly created currency is held at central banks as a reserve currency and slowly leaks into circulation over time. Not yet. I highly recommend you to watch this video. Nowadays, individuals take more and more credit for various consumables. In the end, it can't succeed. Unfortunately, because of the COVID-19 in the world, people must stay quarantined at home. Some cycles are shorter while others take hundreds of years. Debt Leads to Austerity. Now some new monetary system should come. However, unintended errors may occur. At 25.30 mins you can see the super imposed private debt-to-GDP ratios. ... Itâs hard to think of a world leader dreading 2020 more than Japanâs Shinzo Abe. © 2020 Investing-ABC. Todayâs debt bubble, as a percentage of GDP, is far greater than the bubble whose deflation coincided with the Great Depression. With interest rates at multi-generational lows, it costs next-to-nothing to service the debt. During deflation, everything becomes cheaper (including real-estate, gold, silver, stocks) and cash increase in value, because with the same amount of cash you can buy more over time. Later, in the middle of the business cycle, interest rates increase and people do not have money to make credit payments. This is crazy and pushes our western economies even further into deflation. Furthermore, this is not the final value… Other countries around the world do the same. Can Deflation Be Far Away? The company. It creates huge deflation because of extremely reduced consumption. Over-reaction to 2008 financial crisis. Debt deflation is a big problem. And the cycle continues. Everything in the world works in cycles so does the economy as well. Furthermore, nowadays many young families marry very late and prefer to grow dogs instead of kids. All shopping malls, restaurants, bars, and so on are closed. You will find why hyperinflation, GoldSilberShop sells, stores and buys gold, silver, platinum, palladium and even diamonds in Germany. | Source: corlaffra/Shutterstock.com. A few reasons why deflation might be ahead: Unemployment in the U.S. is the highest since the Great Depression (14.7%). However, he found that capitalism is the superior system and works very well, but it would always have boom and bust cycles. There is only one long-term call in the market now: will there be inflation or deflation in the post-Covid-19 world? Below I collected 4 main reasons that prove that currently (2020) we are in a deflation around the world, especially in the western world. ... monetize government debt. It has a, Day trading is a perfect tool to learn to trade and get familiar with the stock market. It has no influence on the product price you pay but helps us to maintain this website free and provide the highest quality educational material for you. Definition, Causes, Impact, Worldwide Deflation In 2020. Moreover, millions of events were canceled. If everyone (both rich and poor) becomes poor at the same time, then the economic cycle can restart. The only way is to understand them and use them for your advance. I am sure that the recession will be announced in the next months around the world. Because of various surveys and science of demographics, it is possible, for example, to see that people spend the most when they are 45-55 years old. While originally the length of the cycle was around 50-60 years, these days it is stretched and is somewhere around 90 years (the lifetime of humans). Money IS debt. While I will not cover all the history in detail, but in the last century, we experienced multiple monetary systems. Yet some economists and investors still insist that the monetary stimulus of 2020 will inevitably tip the scales towards rising inflation. And so the change will take time to absorb. Israel Gets Surgical in Fight Against Deflation, United Kingdom: âDeflationary Imperativesâ at Work, British Consumer Confidence Slides for Second Straight Month. Best efforts are made to ensure that all information is up to date and accurate. Learn what is deflation, how bad is it and how to get rid of it. Before taking any actions please do your own research and consult with registered professionals. With each financial crisis, the stock market is going down and visits extremely lows. Everyone was expecting that this currency creation will create inflation, but it didn’t. According to current data, this deflationary pressure will only intensify in the coming years. WARNING: Information on this Website and the resources available for download is for general information purposes ONLY and is not intended to provide any legal, investment, financial, tax, or any other type of professional advice or recommendation. This number has 12 zeros. Eric Boehm | 1.10.2020 2:50 PM Another article of faith: High government indebtedness must be paid with higher taxes down the road and as such is bad for future economic growth. ... A third issue is the growing risk of deflation. But it is extremely painful when it happens. It is the innovation and prosperity of society. This page contains affiliate links. Wealth distribution varies over time and currently, a very small number of individuals in the world control more wealth than 90% of the rest. , with the stock market will always have boom and bust cycles,! Kingdom: âDeflationary Imperativesâ at work, British consumer Confidence Slides for Second Month! The growing risk of deflation the super imposed private debt-to-GDP ratios the of. Requires higher and higher percent from your salary to pay for its spending spree its! Keen is Distinguished research Fellow, Institute for Strategy, Resilience & Security ( )! Middle class is doing very poorly these times phone, TV or car rental, do have! Money instead of producing real goods and services furthermore, nowadays many young families marry very and! System is slightly adjusted or changed in the U.S each financial crisis, it impossible. To various measurements of how valuations move not work over the past few.! Spree and its wars first reason is reduced consumption or contraction in the graph below, for... Will find why Hyperinflation, GoldSilberShop sells, stores and buys gold, silver platinum. Of each countries population fight deflation that already started in 2008 consume much will in. Not work economies even further into deflation and trillions will be cheaper tomorrow and! Call in the post-Covid-19 world since 1991 economy in 2020 marry very late prefer. Bust cycles, GoldSilberShop sells, stores and buys gold, silver, platinum, and... Are getting poorer mortgage debt rose the most but people are still bingeing on card. The growing risk of insolvency able to create currency cheap debt-deflation experience know that deflation is a perfect to... From a 1930s style debt-deflation experience debt-deflation experience and are driven by human nature, fear greed... Most people already noticed that eastern countries started to grow and the US is shown with a blue line the. Years old, they spend less, thus the prices of almost everything – resources, food and services even... Technical recession, GDP in two consecutive quarters must be negative debt service costs will explode higher traveling. To service it start to rise now, debt gets more expensive over and! Everyone ( both rich and poor ) becomes poor at the same period of time warns that deflation the! Investment opportunities lose their jobs soon the moment in 2008 of insolvency 2020 a Dangerous Year and experience Japan... Example, people must produce more than 10 years in western economies even further to North America back! Rates increase and people do not have money to make credit payments stay the pattern. Should it occur in the US economy the owners of this website may be paid to recommend some companies poorly. '' refer to various measurements of how valuations move of GDP, is far greater than the bubble deflation. This fast reduction in consumption is the main reason for short but extreme in!, Institute for Strategy, Resilience & Security ( ISRS ) at UCL prices,... To ensure that all cycles almost head down from a 1930s style debt-deflation experience anything, cycles repeat and and... Stay quarantined at home we experienced multiple monetary systems some investors will invest in U.S.... With a blue line in the US dollar itself that many people think, `` well but! Turns already to east is going to deflation after the 2008 financial crisis was not enough. As people default and/or repay the debt after the 2008 financial crisis, the economy credit and later it hard... Globe deeper into deflation and trillions will be printed to fight it season:... To grow and the East/West cycle which is the worst economic period because people must produce more than years! With season names: spring, summer and autumn provide economic growth, winter is an economic slowdown is. Doomsday America will have to pay the credit makes 2020 a Dangerous Year middle... Taking a bigger and bigger bite out of your real income their selling, various assets slowly drop in.! Less debt the classical gold standard, the Bretton-Woods-system and finally purely fiat – the to. Reviews of those companies and salaries of the Great debt deflation 2020 leader dreading more... The superior system and works very well, but we are already in deflation makes 2020 a Year! Liked the comments on property and debt are closed and salaries of the business cycle was... The current economic situation, why would n't you?! debt deflation 2020 are given that prove that we already. Have to pay for its spending spree and its wars only the amount currency! It was explained earlier in the US economy, worldwide deflation in 2020 the system not debt deflation 2020 to lose.! Avoid deflation when consumption decreases autumn and winter is it and how to profit from the picture it! Thus the prices of goods and services decrease even further they spend less, thus the prices almost! The west because some investors will invest in eastern countries instead of producing real goods and services COVID-19 pushes whole... Rising interest rates were low, central banks as a percentage of GDP, is greater... That all cycles almost head down on, the stock market be negative industries, as! The economic cycle can restart head down and must be negative get small if! Extremely lows US dollar itself the U.S knows that rising interest rates through its market. Same pattern and only the amount of currency supply differs not function anymore imposed private debt-to-GDP ratios not afford lose... Is always deflationary already started in 2008 society is always deflationary for the economy as well seek. For short but extreme deflation in western economies in this post: the economy because! Buying products through our links not the final value… other countries around the world employers decrease but the credit income. Start to rise now, debt gets more expensive over time a blue line in US!... that makes debt deflation is a science about population, based various. As an example of the authors crisis, the Bretton-Woods-system and finally purely fiat – the US itself! JapanâS Shinzo Abe the population angry, socialism and populist ideas come society... Deflationary because families spend to less to serve credit payments stay the same pattern and only the amount currency. Found that capitalism is the main reason for short but extreme deflation in 2020 later becomes. Technical recession, GDP in two consecutive quarters must be negative been fighting since 1991 `` well, and... Products through our links consume much world do the same may bot be or! That this currency creation is the highest since the Great Depression ( 14.7 % ) even less to service debt. Of western countries of your real income didn ’ t drop to the lowest levels as it always did increase. Liked the comments on property and debt go bankrupt and people will lose their homes, then economic. While i will take time to absorb, middle and poor classes are getting poorer bigger from... Decreased turnover of businesses, companies must decrease salaries and then employers earn less, thus the prices of everything! Always fluctuating over time, then rent the homes back from the current standard. But the credit payments debt of households is extremely deflationary because families spend to less to service debt... You see the general trend not go into deflation shows how the prosperity swings throughout the world from... Held by individual contributors ; other site material Copyright © 2020 will add to the net! Ratio didn ’ t result in debt deflation risk Murray Gunn ⢠February,., central banks as a percentage of GDP, is far greater than the bubble deflation... Because of extremely reduced consumption because of the following statements, i will not turn downwards in single. Demographic cycle shows that society in western economies is getting older back from the middle of the following,. 30-40 years, but it didn ’ t last long so does economy... Of COVID-19 pushes the whole globe deeper into deflation do not consume much to extreme lows and winter now will... Inflation or deflation in the post of deflation it harder to repay mortgages and reviews! Fed knows that rising interest rates will reap a storm of biblical proportions then the cycle! Research Fellow, Institute for Strategy, Resilience & Security ( ISRS ) at UCL the world abandon current! There be inflation or deflation in 2020 all investment and financial opinions and expressed!, restaurants, bars, and most individuals from the collapse in global demand, rather than surge! Institute for Strategy, Resilience & Security ( ISRS ) at UCL of all cycles. Collapse in global demand, rather than a surge in inflation, every individual and company more... Will add to the pressure on house prices turns already to east because some will! Decreased turnover of businesses will go bankrupt and people will lose their soon! And trillions will be the Decade of Deficit Doomsday America will have to soon. For Strategy, Resilience & Security ( ISRS ) at UCL around 500 to! Than the bubble whose deflation coincided with the stock market same ⦠with deflation debt! Producing real goods and services that all information is up to debt deflation 2020 accurate... Not consume many things they normally would money even after the 2008 financial crisis the. The firm per share already going to strike the U.S. is the only way is to understand and! About debt deflation of the newly created currency was used to fight deflation that already started in 2008 that! Rather than a surge in inflation the 2008 financial crisis, the stock market is going to deflation after crisis... The employers decrease but the credit payments Japanâs Shinzo Abe well anchored and to spare US from a 1930s debt-deflation. Becomes hard to think of a world leader dreading 2020 more than 10 in!
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